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Título: Trend analysis of air temperature in the Federal District of Brazil : 1980–2010
Autor(es): Steinke, Valdir Adilson
Melo, Luis Alberto Martins Palhares de
Melo, Mamedes Luiz
Franca, Rafael Rodrigues da
Lucena, Rebecca Luna
Steinke, Ercilia Torres
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8738-6975
https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4670-265X
Afiliação do autor: University of Brasilia, Department of Geography
EMBRAPA-CENARGEN
INMET
University of Brasilia, Department of Geography
Federal University of Rio Grande do Norte, Department of Geography
University of Brasilia, Department of Geography
Assunto: Temperatura - Distrito Federal (Brasil)
Testes estatísticos
Data de publicação: 29-Jul-2020
Editora: MDPI
Referência: STEINKE, Valdir Adilson et al. Trend analysis of air temperature in the Federal District of Brazil: 1980-2010. Climate, [S. l.], v. 8, n. 8, 89, 2020. DOI: https://doi.org/10.3390/cli8080089. Disponível em: https://www.mdpi.com/2225-1154/8/8/89. Acesso em: 26 jun. 2024.
Abstract: This study was designed to identify trends in maximum, minimum, and average air temperatures in the Federal District of Brazil from 1980 to 2010, measured at five weather stations. Three statistical tests (Wald–Wolfowitz, Cox–Stuart, and Mann–Kendall) were tested for their applicability for this purpose, and the ones found to be most suitable for the data series were validated. For this data sample, it was observed that the application of the Wald–Wolfowitz test and its validation by the Cox–Stuart and Mann–Kendall tests was the best solution for analyzing the air temperature trends. The results showed an upward trend in average and maximum air temperature at three weather stations, a downward trend at one, and the absence of any trend at two. If the trend of increasing air temperature in the Federal District persists, it could have a negative impact on various sectors of society, mainly on the health of the population, especially during the dry season when more cases of respiratory diseases are registered. These results could serve as inputs for public administrators involved in the planning and formulation of public policies.
Unidade Acadêmica: Instituto de Ciências Humanas (ICH)
Departamento de Geografia (ICH GEA)
Licença: © 2020 by the authors. Licensee MDPI, Basel, Switzerland. This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/)
DOI: https://doi.org/10.3390/cli8080089
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