Título :	Predicting the geographic distribution of Lutzomyia longipalpis (Diptera: Psychodidae) and visceral leishmaniasis in the state of Mato Grosso do Sul, Brazil
Autor :	Almeida, Paulo Silva de Sciamarelli, Alan Batista, Paulo Mira Ferreira, Ademar Dimas Nascimento, João Raizer, Josué Andrade Filho, José Dilermando Gonçalves, Rodrigo Gurgel
Assunto::	Lutzomyia longipalpis Leishmaniose visceral Distribuição geográfica Nicho (Ecologia)
Fecha de publicación :	dic-2013
Editorial :	Instituto Oswaldo Cruz, Ministério da Saúde
Citación :	ALMEIDA, Paulo Silva de et al. Predicting the geographic distribution of Lutzomyia longipalpis (Diptera: Psychodidae) and visceral leishmaniasis in the state of Mato Grosso do Sul, Brazil. Memórias do Instituto Oswaldo Cruz, Rio de Janeiro, v. 108, n. 8, p. 992-996, dez. 2013. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1590/0074-0276130331. Disponível em: http://www.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0074-02762013000800992&lng=en&nrm=iso. Acesso em: 12 jan. 2021.
Abstract:	To understand the geographic distribution of visceral leishmaniasis (VL) in the state of Mato Grosso do Sul (MS), Brazil, both the climatic niches of Lutzomyia longipalpis and VL cases were analysed. Distributional data were obtained from 55 of the 79 counties of MS between 2003-2012. Ecological niche models (ENM) of Lu. longipalpis and VL cases were produced using the maximum entropy algorithm based on eight climatic variables. Lu. longipalpis showed a wide distribution in MS. The highest climatic suitability for Lu. longipalpis was observed in southern MS. Temperature seasonality and annual mean precipitation were the variables that most influenced these models. Two areas of high climatic suitability for the occurrence of VL cases were predicted: one near Aquidauana and another encompassing several municipalities in the southeast region of MS. As expected, a large overlap between the models for Lu. longipalpis and VL cases was detected. Northern and northwestern areas of MS were suitable for the occurrence of cases, but did not show high climatic suitability for Lu. longipalpis . ENM of vectors and human cases provided a greater understanding of the geographic distribution of VL in MS, which can be applied to the development of future surveillance strategies.
metadata.dc.description.unidade:	Faculdade de Medicina (FMD)
Licença::	Memórias do Instituto Oswaldo Cruz - This is an Open Access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution Non-Commercial License, which permits unrestricted non-commercial use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited (CC BY NC 3.0). Fonte: https://www.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0074-02762013000800992&lng=en&tlng=en. Acesso em: 12 jan. 2021.
DOI:	https://dx.doi.org/10.1590/0074-0276130331
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