Título:	Development of a feasibility model for a High Speed Rail (HSR) line project
Autor(es):	Garcia, Reinaldo Crispiniano Goulart, Aline Veiga, Thais da C. Cunha, Luiza V. da Vilarindo, Marcos
Assunto:	Fatores de risco Projetos de engenharia
Data de publicação:	Abr-2016
Editora:	Sociedade Brasileira de Planejamento dos Transportes
Referência:	GARCIA, Reinaldo C. et al. Development of a feasibility model for a High Speed Rail (HSR) line project. Journal of Transport Literature, Manaus, v. 10, n. 2, p. 20-24, abr./jun. 2016. Disponível em: <http://www.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S2238-10312016000200020&lng=en&nrm=iso>. Acesso em: 11 dez. 2017. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1590/2238-1031.jtl.v10n2a4.
Abstract:	The building costs of a High Speed Rail line project besides its acquisition, operation and maintenance ones, are very high making it an expensive option of transportation. The implementation of a HSR project must then be evaluated, determining its costs and revenues, in order to justify its viability. This research proposes a model to evaluate the feasibility of a HSR line. The model considers the cases where the demand and the costs have uncertainties, assuming also that the initial evaluated demand can be overestimated. A detailed explanation of the proposed model is given and empirical results for the Brazilian HSR project are discussed. The results show that such a project is a very risky one, and it must be carefully discussed before it becomes a reality.
Licença:	Journal of Transport Literature - This is an Open Access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited (CC BY 4.0). Fonte: http://www.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S2238-10312016000200020&lng=en&nrm=iso&tlng=en. Acesso em: 11 dez. 2017.
DOI:	http://dx.doi.org/10.1590/2238-1031.jtl.v10n2a4
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